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Hotspotting


Oct 22, 2018

Much of my writing is devoted to correcting the misinformation on real estate which abounds in media.

The hallmark of pretenders who pontificate on property without expertise is their view of Australia as a single market.
Media abounds with non-experts making predictions about “Australian house prices”. Economists and the ratings agencies are the worst offenders. To generalise about Australia as a single market is nonsensical, given the size and complexity of the nation and its many different real estate markets.
The past 5 years have demonstrated the point well. The eight capital cities have had 4 distinct scenarios:
Two have had prolonged price booms lasting 4-5 years, one has shown solid price growth in the past two years, but not a prolonged boom, two have been in steady decline, with prices and rents falling, and three have plodded along with small annual rises in prices. 
Regional Australia has also exhibited various scenarios, dictated by local conditions:
Now we are moving into a period of change, but with the same level of complexity and variety.